CIA Plays It Safe With Intelligence Estimate of Iran's Nuclear Program: They Didn't Want War Hawks in White House to Get Us Into Another War

The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) recently released a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear program and concluded that the Iranians had stopped their nuclear weapons program in the fall of 2003 under international pressure.

This effectively took several options off the table for the Bush Administration, left the Israelis fuming, had the European Union both cheering and shaking their heads in confusion, and the Iranians crowing "See, we told you so." And Iran's neighbors are now very nervous too.

I think the CIA didn't want another statement coming out of its ranks that would be seized by the war hawks in Washington as George Tenet's "slam dunk" comment was in 2003, with regards to Saddam Hussein's possessing banned biochem weapons in the lead-up to the Iraq War. CIA definitely didn't want this Administration to launch another war based on incomplete or faulty information.

That's already happened once; and CIA was roasted alive. Now they're playing it safe when they should be aggressively pushing to get more people on the ground inside Iran. "We're kind of sure" WON'T cut it.