Thursday, October 14, 2004

Final Bush-Kerry Debate: Surprise Victory for Bush

Tonight’s debate was a clear victory for Bush. I was very surprised that he did as well as he did. I was equally surprised by Kerry’s lackluster performance tonight. Kerry looked worn out and came out on the short end of the stick. Bush stayed on the attack while Kerry was on the defensive for most of the debate.

Some talking points:

Kerry insisted 1.6 million jobs have been lost under Bush. The number is closer to ½ that.

Bush insisted that 75% of al-Qaeda’s leadership has been eliminated. I’m sure the terrorists have found others to replace the pre-9/11 leadership.

In my opinion, Kerry made a tactical error in bringing up Cheney’s daughter. Kerry stuffed words into her mouth. He’ll probably end up apologizing to her tomorrow, both in public and in private. She’s a private citizen, not a political figure.

He also screwed up when he said that Bush had never met with the Congressional Black Caucus. Bush met with them a little more than two weeks after he was inaugurated (January 31, 2001) and during the crisis in Haiti (February 25, 2004).

Bush and Kerry both promised to cut the deficit in half in the next term. Nope. Can’t happen. If they disbanded the military, laid off 98% of the government, ended Social Security and did a whole bunch of other nasty things, they MIGHT cut the deficit by 2009 as both have promised.

Kerry seems to be faltering. Bush got stronger and stronger as the debate went on. Bush's best effort yet.

Reviewing my predictions: I had predicted a Kerry victory in the first debate, a Bush win on the second one, and a draw on the third one. I was correct about the first debate, the second debate was a draw and the third one turned out to be a Bush win. I didn't see that one coming.

Twenty days to go before the election. We'll see what happens next.

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