President Bush seems to have gotten the bounce that John Kerry didn’t get at his own convention. Bush appears to hold a double-digit lead over John Kerry, after weeks of being behind an average of six points in the polls.
But past experience has taught us not to place too much faith in the polls.
The difference between a poll and a vote is that the poll reflects how a person feels at that particular moment. A vote is the final decision of the person and may change at the last possible moment.
An 11% advantage for Bush or Kerry may be 2% five minutes later and a 3% advantage to the previous underdog ten minutes later.
Polls do not decide elections. Votes do. Everything else is secondary to that.
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